Dundalk 3-0 Wexford Youths — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Wexford Youths EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +13%
1.50/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.12
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
278 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Wexford Youths
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
26.08.2022 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 2-3 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRK
26.08.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
29.05.2016 Dundalk Dundalk 3-2 HT 1-1 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İRL
14.03.2016 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths 1-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
04.08.2014 Dundalk Dundalk 5-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths İRLK
28.01.2014 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 2-0 Wexford Youths Wexford Youths HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
3-0
AWAY Wexford Youths
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Wexford Youths
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk swept aside Wexford Youths 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 51% of the ball to Wexford Youths's 49%, shots finished 19-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Dundalk and 0.83 for Wexford Youths.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Wexford Youths?

Dundalk 3-0 Wexford Youths in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Wexford Youths?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 59%, draw 20%, Wexford Youths 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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