Kerry 0-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.43
6+ Goals
6%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.41/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.32
+6% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
210 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2024 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
01.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin edged past Kerry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kerry and 1.50 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Kerry 0-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kerry 30%, draw 25%, Univ College Dublin 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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