Kerry 0-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
3.83
6+ Goals
11%
16.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.04 — our 33% vs market 27.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.0pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.2pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.38/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/1.22
+9% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 580 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
6.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
07.06.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
10.05.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-2 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
01.04.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerry İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kerry
0-1
AWAY Univ College Dublin
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin nicked a narrow win over Kerry 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Kerry had 39% of the ball to Univ College Dublin's 61%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 1.67 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Kerry 0-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kerry 28%, draw 22%, Univ College Dublin 51%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ BTTS No
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