Cork City 3-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.16
Draw
23%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.63
Over 2.5
49%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
6.08
2-3 Goals
36%
2.07
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
9%
5.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 6.08 — our 31% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
28%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
82%
-19.6pp
23%
Draw
11%
+11.9pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
34%
+17.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
66%
-17.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.6pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +27%
1.96/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.62
-21% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +45%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
449 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2024 Cork City Cork City 2-0 HT 2-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
20.04.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Cork City Cork City İR1
09.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Cork City Cork City İR1
02.09.2022 Cork City Cork City 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
18.06.2022 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Cork City Cork City İR1
29.04.2022 Cork City Cork City 4-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
3-2
AWAY Longford Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
26 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cork City as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cork City had 58% of the ball to Longford Town's 42%, shots finished 26-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cork City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cork City and 0.83 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Longford Town?

Cork City 3-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cork City win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Cork City 62%, draw 23%, Longford Town 15%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cork City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cork City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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