Bray Wanderers 5-0 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.8
Over 2.5
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 36% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.2pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -4%
1.59/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.05
+19% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bray Wanderers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Treaty United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.06.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-0 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
19.04.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
08.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 2-2 HT 2-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
15.09.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-1 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
30.06.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 1-1 HT 1-1 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
01.05.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
POST-MATCH Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers cruised past Treaty United 5-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Treaty United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bray Wanderers and 1.83 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?

Bray Wanderers 5-0 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bray Wanderers vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bray Wanderers 41%, draw 25%, Treaty United 34%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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