Univ College Dublin 1-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 9 May 2025

📅09/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.82
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
7%
17.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
1.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.88
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
18.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.07.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
27.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
1-1
AWAY Longford Town
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Longford Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 67% of the ball to Longford Town's 33%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.83 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Univ College Dublin 1-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 09/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 50%, draw 27%, Longford Town 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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