Univ College Dublin 2-2 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.77
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.77 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.40/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.67
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Longford Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
27.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
31.10.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-3 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
21.09.2020 Longford Town Longford Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-2
AWAY Longford Town
68% Ball Possession 32%
24 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin and Longford Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Univ College Dublin at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 68% of the ball to Longford Town's 32%, shots finished 24-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Univ College Dublin and 1.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Univ College Dublin 2-2 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 50%, draw 26%, Longford Town 23%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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