Finn Harps 1-2 Treaty United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
34%
1.8
4-5 Goals
27%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Treaty United EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -3%
1.08/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.22
-26% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
208 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Finn Harps
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Treaty United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.07.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 1-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
03.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
29.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.10.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
11.08.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Finn Harps
1-2
AWAY Treaty United
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Finn Harps vs Treaty United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Treaty United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Finn Harps had 52% of the ball to Treaty United's 48%, shots finished 19-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Finn Harps and 0.67 for Treaty United.

What was the final score of Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Finn Harps 1-2 Treaty United in the Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Finn Harps vs Treaty United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Finn Harps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Finn Harps 38%, draw 30%, Treaty United 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Finn Harps), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Finn Harps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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