Treaty United 1-0 Finn Harps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2024

📅26/07/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.54
6+ Goals
7%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Treaty United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Finn Harps EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +31%
1.19/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.14
-16% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Treaty United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Finn Harps
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Finn Harps Finn Harps 1-0 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
29.03.2024 Treaty United Treaty United 0-1 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
06.10.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 2-0 HT 0-0 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
11.08.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 0-1 HT 0-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
26.05.2023 Treaty United Treaty United 0-3 HT 0-2 Finn Harps Finn Harps İR1
14.04.2023 Finn Harps Finn Harps 2-0 HT 1-0 Treaty United Treaty United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Treaty United
1-0
AWAY Finn Harps
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Treaty United vs Finn Harps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Treaty United nicked a narrow win over Finn Harps 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Treaty United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Treaty United had 55% of the ball to Finn Harps's 45%, shots finished 19-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Finn Harps led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Treaty United and 1.17 for Finn Harps.

What was the final score of Treaty United vs Finn Harps?

Treaty United 1-0 Finn Harps in the Ireland - 1st Division on 26/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Treaty United vs Finn Harps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Treaty United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Treaty United 38%, draw 30%, Finn Harps 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Treaty United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Treaty United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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