Kerry 2-0 Athlone Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2024

Kerry
2-0
Athlone Town
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Kerry vs Athlone Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
9%
10.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kerry v Athlone Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kerry EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Athlone Town EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.50/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.81
+16% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Kerry vs Athlone Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kerry
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Athlone Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.08.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Kerry İR1
19.04.2024 Kerry 1-2 HT 1-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
08.03.2024 Athlone Town Athlone Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Kerry İR1
15.09.2023 Athlone Town Athlone Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Kerry İR1
09.06.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-1 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
24.03.2023 Kerry 0-1 HT 0-0 Athlone Town Athlone Town İR1
POST-MATCH Kerry vs Athlone Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kerry beat Athlone Town 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athlone Town at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Athlone Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kerry and 1.67 for Athlone Town.

What was the final score of Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Kerry 2-0 Athlone Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kerry vs Athlone Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Athlone Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kerry 36%, draw 20%, Athlone Town 44%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Athlone Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athlone Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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