Longford Town 1-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 27 Jul 2024

Longford Town
1-2 HT 1-1
Univ College Dublin
📅27/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - 1st Division – 2024

Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
28%
3.57
6+ Goals
8%
14.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Longford Town v Univ College Dublin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 57%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.95/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.90/1.03
-24% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
253 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards –

Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
27.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
31.10.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-3 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
21.09.2020 Longford Town Longford Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
31.07.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.33 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Longford Town 1-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 23%, draw 28%, Univ College Dublin 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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