Longford Town 0-1 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
17.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 53%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +19%
1.20/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.98
-11% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +25%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
238 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.07.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
27.08.2021 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-1 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
31.10.2020 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-3 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin nicked a narrow win over Longford Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Longford Town and 1.83 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Longford Town 0-1 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 29%, draw 25%, Univ College Dublin 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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