Univ College Dublin 2-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.19
6+ Goals
8%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 28% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
60%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.86/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.98
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Univ College Dublin
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Longford Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.06.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
09.05.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.04.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
18.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.07.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Univ College Dublin
2-1
AWAY Longford Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin squeezed past Longford Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Univ College Dublin as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Univ College Dublin had 61% of the ball to Longford Town's 39%, shots finished 17-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Univ College Dublin and 0.67 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Univ College Dublin 2-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Univ College Dublin vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Univ College Dublin 60%, draw 24%, Longford Town 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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