Longford Town 0-2 Univ College Dublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 28 Jun 2025

📅28/06/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.23
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.38
6+ Goals
8%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 34% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.1pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+10.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-10.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.9pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Univ College Dublin EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.20/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.46
-8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Univ College Dublin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2025 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.04.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
18.10.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 2-2 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
27.07.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
03.05.2024 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin 1-0 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.03.2024 Longford Town Longford Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Univ College Dublin Univ College Dublin İR1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Univ College Dublin saw off Longford Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Univ College Dublin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Univ College Dublin led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Longford Town and 1.50 for Univ College Dublin.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Longford Town 0-2 Univ College Dublin in the Ireland - 1st Division on 28/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Univ College Dublin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Univ College Dublin win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 33%, draw 31%, Univ College Dublin 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Univ College Dublin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Univ College Dublin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →