Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barakaldo v Arenas de Getxo — Team-Based Signals
Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Barakaldo
İS4
4-1
HT 2-0
Barakaldo
İS3
0-0
HT 0-0
Arenas de Getxo
İS3
1-3
HT 0-2
Arenas de Getxo
İS3
Barakaldo 2-1 Arenas de Getxo — Actual Match Statistics
Barakaldo squeezed past Arenas de Getxo 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Barakaldo had 55% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 45%, shots finished 12-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Barakaldo and 1.60 for Arenas de Getxo.
What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo?
Barakaldo 2-1 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 44%, draw 28%, Arenas de Getxo 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.