Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barakaldo v Arenas de Getxo — Team-Based Signals
Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Barakaldo
İS4
4-1
HT 2-0
Barakaldo
İS3
0-0
HT 0-0
Arenas de Getxo
İS3
1-3
HT 0-2
Arenas de Getxo
İS3
Barakaldo 1-0 Arenas de Getxo — Actual Match Statistics
Barakaldo squeezed past Arenas de Getxo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Barakaldo as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Barakaldo had 63% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 37%, shots finished 6-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Barakaldo and 2.00 for Arenas de Getxo.
What was the final score of Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo?
Barakaldo 1-0 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barakaldo vs Arenas de Getxo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barakaldo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Barakaldo 49%, draw 29%, Arenas de Getxo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barakaldo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.