Cacereno 0-1 Villanovense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+6.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Villanovense EU Bookmakers 25%
-12% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.27/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/1.03
-9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Villanovense
0.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Villanovense Villanovense 0-0 HT 0-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
19.02.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 1-0 HT 0-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
02.10.2022 Villanovense Villanovense 2-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
16.04.2022 Villanovense Villanovense 2-0 HT 1-0 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
27.11.2021 Cacereno Cacereno 0-1 HT 0-0 Villanovense Villanovense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
0-1
AWAY Villanovense
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Villanovense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villanovense edged past Cacereno 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cacereno had 52% of the ball to Villanovense's 48%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Villanovense led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.20 goals for Cacereno and 1.00 for Villanovense.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Villanovense?

Cacereno 0-1 Villanovense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Villanovense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 42%, draw 29%, Villanovense 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cacereno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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