El Palo 0-2 UCAM Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Palo EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.59/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.15
-38% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Palo
0W-1D-1L
AWAY UCAM Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 1-0 HT 0-0 El Palo El Palo İS4
16.08.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-2 HT 2-0 El Palo El Palo HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Palo
0-2
AWAY UCAM Murcia
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH El Palo vs UCAM Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia beat El Palo 2-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Palo had 52% of the ball to UCAM Murcia's 48%, shots finished 6-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Palo and 1.50 for UCAM Murcia.

What was the final score of El Palo vs UCAM Murcia?

El Palo 0-2 UCAM Murcia in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Palo vs UCAM Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated an UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split El Palo 34%, draw 25%, UCAM Murcia 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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