Hercules 0-1 Formentera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.47
Draw
31%
3.94
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
64%
-19.2pp
31%
Draw
22%
+9.2pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Formentera EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.54/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.18
-13% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Formentera
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Formentera Formentera 1-2 HT 1-2 Hercules Hercules İS4
19.03.2023 Hercules Hercules 1-0 HT 1-0 Formentera Formentera İS4
30.10.2022 Formentera Formentera 2-1 HT 0-1 Hercules Hercules İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
0-1
AWAY Formentera
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Formentera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Formentera nicked a narrow win over Hercules 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hercules at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Hercules had 55% of the ball to Formentera's 45%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hercules had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hercules and 1.00 for Formentera.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Formentera?

Hercules 0-1 Formentera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Formentera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hercules 45%, draw 31%, Formentera 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hercules) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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