CD Guadalajara 2-1 Union Adarve — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Adarve EU Bookmakers 30%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.09
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Adarve
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
10.09.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 2-2 HT 2-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
16.04.2023 Union Adarve Union Adarve 1-3 HT 1-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
04.12.2022 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-2 HT 0-1 Union Adarve Union Adarve İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-1
AWAY Union Adarve
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Union Adarve
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara nicked a narrow win over Union Adarve 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 56% of the ball to Union Adarve's 44%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.67 for Union Adarve.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Union Adarve?

CD Guadalajara 2-1 Union Adarve in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Union Adarve?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 45%, draw 26%, Union Adarve 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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