Hercules 0-1 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
21%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.69
4-5 Goals
17%
4.14
6+ Goals
8%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
50%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
21%
Away Win
22%
-0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 25%
-1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.08/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.29
-27% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Algeciras
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Hercules Hercules 1-2 HT 0-1 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
11.10.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 2-3 HT 2-1 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
0-1
AWAY Algeciras
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras nicked a narrow win over Hercules 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hercules at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hercules had 43% of the ball to Algeciras's 57%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hercules and 2.00 for Algeciras.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Algeciras?

Hercules 0-1 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hercules 54%, draw 26%, Algeciras 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hercules) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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