Hercules 1-2 Algeciras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.6
Over 2.5
49%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
4.53
6+ Goals
9%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hercules EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Algeciras EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.37/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+0% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hercules
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Algeciras
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Algeciras Algeciras 2-3 HT 2-1 Hercules Hercules İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hercules
1-2
AWAY Algeciras
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hercules vs Algeciras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras nicked a narrow win over Hercules 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hercules at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hercules had 61% of the ball to Algeciras's 39%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Hercules vs Algeciras?

Hercules 1-2 Algeciras in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hercules vs Algeciras?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hercules win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hercules 47%, draw 26%, Algeciras 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hercules), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hercules) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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