Marbella 3-1 Recreativo Huelva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Recreativo Huelva EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.26/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.20
-1% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.12.2024 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-3 HT 0-1 Marbella Marbella İS3
21.02.2021 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-3 HT 1-1 Marbella Marbella İS3
29.11.2020 Marbella Marbella 2-0 HT 1-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
08.03.2020 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 0-0 HT 0-0 Marbella Marbella İS3
20.10.2019 Marbella Marbella 2-1 HT 1-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
04.08.2015 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 3-1 HT 2-0 Marbella Marbella HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marbella
3-1
AWAY Recreativo Huelva
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Recreativo Huelva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella got the better of Recreativo Huelva 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Marbella made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marbella had 55% of the ball to Recreativo Huelva's 45%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Marbella had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Marbella and 1.00 for Recreativo Huelva.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Recreativo Huelva?

Marbella 3-1 Recreativo Huelva in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Recreativo Huelva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Marbella 39%, draw 31%, Recreativo Huelva 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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