Sestao River 1-2 Gimnastica Segoviana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.91
Over 2.5
58%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.26
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.35
6+ Goals
10%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.2pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 18%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +6%
1.67/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.21
-2% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 0-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
08.11.2023 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana 3-4 HT 1-1 Sestao River Sestao River İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-2
AWAY Gimnastica Segoviana
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Gimnastica Segoviana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana squeezed past Sestao River 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Sestao River at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Sestao River had 59% of the ball to Gimnastica Segoviana's 41%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sestao River had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sestao River and 1.50 for Gimnastica Segoviana.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Sestao River 1-2 Gimnastica Segoviana in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Gimnastica Segoviana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 56%, draw 22%, Gimnastica Segoviana 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sestao River) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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