Real Sociedad II 3-2 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.32
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.75
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-0.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.34/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.79
+15% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +34%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.89 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
395 Passes 249
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.08.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
24.02.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
03.12.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-2 HT 1-2 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
14.02.2022 Ponferradina Ponferradina 3-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS2
10.10.2021 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
3-2
AWAY Ponferradina
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad II edged past Ponferradina 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Real Sociedad II made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 47% of the ball to Ponferradina's 53%, shots finished 11-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.60 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Ponferradina?

Real Sociedad II 3-2 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 38%, draw 26%, Ponferradina 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
11 May 2025
13:00 Zamora CF vs Real Union Analysis →
13:00 Osasuna II vs Arenteiro Analysis →
13:00 Sevilla II vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
13:00 Fuenlabrada vs Ceuta Analysis →
18:30 Marbella vs Recreativo Huelva Analysis →
20:30 Sestao River vs Gimnastica Segoviana Analysis →