Ospitaletto 1-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.41
6+ Goals
6%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ospitaletto EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ospitaletto
1-2
AWAY Pergolettese
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese nicked a narrow win over Ospitaletto 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Pergolettese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ospitaletto had 45% of the ball to Pergolettese's 55%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese?

Ospitaletto 1-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ospitaletto win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ospitaletto 39%, draw 28%, Pergolettese 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ospitaletto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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