SS Monopoli 2-0 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
16%
4.69
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.25 — our 38% vs market 35.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.0pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.22/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.09
-1% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
239 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-0 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
18.11.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
10.03.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
06.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
14.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
30.01.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 0-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
2-0
AWAY Audace Cerignola
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli got the better of Audace Cerignola 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day SS Monopoli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 58% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 42%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SS Monopoli and 1.33 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?

SS Monopoli 2-0 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 37%, draw 31%, Audace Cerignola 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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