Audace Cerignola 1-0 SS Monopoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.2
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.11
6+ Goals
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
13%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.7pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.61/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.37
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Audace Cerignola
1W-2D-3L
AWAY SS Monopoli
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.11.2024 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 1-1 HT 0-1 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
10.03.2024 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
06.11.2023 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-2 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
14.05.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
30.01.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 1-3 HT 0-2 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
24.09.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Audace Cerignola
1-0
AWAY SS Monopoli
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola nicked a narrow win over SS Monopoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Audace Cerignola had 55% of the ball to SS Monopoli's 45%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Audace Cerignola and 2.00 for SS Monopoli.

What was the final score of Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Audace Cerignola 1-0 SS Monopoli in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Audace Cerignola vs SS Monopoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Audace Cerignola 47%, draw 29%, SS Monopoli 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5
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