Atalanta II 1-1 Padova Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
10%
17.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +18%
1.79/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.76
+63% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
228 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atalanta II
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Padova Calcio
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.12.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 3-1 HT 3-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
13.04.2024 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 2-0 Atalanta II Atalanta II İTC
09.12.2023 Atalanta II Atalanta II 0-1 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
1-1
AWAY Padova Calcio
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs Padova Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II and Padova Calcio couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atalanta II had 61% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 39%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atalanta II and 2.00 for Padova Calcio.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs Padova Calcio?

Atalanta II 1-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs Padova Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated an Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 33%, draw 25%, Padova Calcio 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5
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