Rimini 4-2 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.86
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rimini EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.60/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.51
+1% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rimini
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Sestri Levante
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.11.2024 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-3 HT 0-2 Rimini Rimini İTC
06.03.2024 Rimini Rimini 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante İTC
16.11.2023 Sestri Levante Sestri Levante 0-1 HT 0-0 Rimini Rimini İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rimini
4-2
AWAY Sestri Levante
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rimini vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rimini beat Sestri Levante 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rimini as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rimini had 52% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 48%, shots finished 13-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rimini had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rimini and 0.33 for Sestri Levante.

What was the final score of Rimini vs Sestri Levante?

Rimini 4-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rimini vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rimini win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rimini 53%, draw 27%, Sestri Levante 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rimini) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rimini) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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