Rossoblu Potenza 3-3 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
3.12
2-3 Goals
35%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
12.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.45/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.42
+25% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
210 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Crotone
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Crotone Crotone 4-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
29.09.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 3-3 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
30.03.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 HT 2-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
26.11.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
29.01.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
24.09.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
3-3
AWAY Crotone
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza and Crotone couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rossoblu Potenza had 46% of the ball to Crotone's 54%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Rossoblu Potenza and 2.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Rossoblu Potenza 3-3 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rossoblu Potenza 31%, draw 27%, Crotone 42%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crotone) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
12 Sep 2025
00:00 Foggia Calcio vs US Latina Analysis →
21:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs GIANA Erminio Analysis →
21:30 Ospitaletto vs Pergolettese Analysis →
21:30 SS Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola Analysis →