Rossoblu Potenza 3-3 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.82
6+ Goals
11%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -20%
1.39/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.67
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -34%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
203 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Crotone
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 HT 2-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
26.11.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
29.01.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
24.09.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
3-3
AWAY Crotone
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza and Crotone shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rossoblu Potenza had 59% of the ball to Crotone's 41%, shots finished 13-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rossoblu Potenza and 1.25 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Rossoblu Potenza 3-3 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rossoblu Potenza win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rossoblu Potenza 36%, draw 28%, Crotone 36%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5
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