Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 Crotone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.41
6+ Goals
10%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rossoblu Potenza EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Crotone EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.43/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.22
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Crotone
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.11.2023 Crotone Crotone 2-1 HT 1-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
29.01.2023 Crotone Crotone 0-0 HT 0-0 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza İTC
24.09.2022 Rossoblu Potenza Rossoblu Potenza 1-1 HT 0-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rossoblu Potenza
2-2
AWAY Crotone
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 19
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rossoblu Potenza and Crotone shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rossoblu Potenza had 44% of the ball to Crotone's 56%, shots finished 15-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Crotone led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rossoblu Potenza and 1.00 for Crotone.

What was the final score of Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Rossoblu Potenza 2-2 Crotone in the Italy - Serie C on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rossoblu Potenza vs Crotone?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rossoblu Potenza 34%, draw 26%, Crotone 40%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Under 2.5
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