SonderjyskE 0-1 Randers FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 12 Sep 2025

SonderjyskE
0-1 HT 0-0
Randers FC
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

SonderjyskE vs Randers FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.13
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.2
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.38
X/2
12%
6.23
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.65
2/2
22%
4.01
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.65 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SonderjyskE v Randers FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Randers FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.03/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.23
-19% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
15.5 Crosses 20.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

SonderjyskE vs Randers FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Randers FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.13 xG 1.89
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
343 Passes 279
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-4 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
18.08.2024 Randers FC Randers FC 1-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
20.03.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
08.08.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 1-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
13.05.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-0 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
20.12.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-1 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN

SonderjyskE 0-1 Randers FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
0-1
AWAY Randers FC
0.59 xG 2.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
363 Passes 456
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 49
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Randers FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC nicked a narrow win over SonderjyskE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 45% of the ball to Randers FC's 55%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.59 to 2.22 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Randers FC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.00 for Randers FC.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Randers FC?

SonderjyskE 0-1 Randers FC in the Denmark - Süperlig on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Randers FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 35%, draw 24%, Randers FC 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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