Carmarthen Town 1-1 Treowen Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Sep 2025

Carmarthen Town
1-1 HT 0-1
Treowen Stars
📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2025/2026

Carmarthen Town vs Treowen Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Carmarthen Town v Treowen Stars — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carmarthen Town EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Treowen Stars EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.65
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Carmarthen Town vs Treowen Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carmarthen Town and Treowen Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Carmarthen Town carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Carmarthen Town vs Treowen Stars?

Carmarthen Town 1-1 Treowen Stars in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carmarthen Town vs Treowen Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carmarthen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Carmarthen Town 56%, draw 21%, Treowen Stars 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carmarthen Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carmarthen Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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