Penrhyncoch 2-3 Guilsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
54%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.18
Over 2.5
59%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.3pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.5pp
54%
Away Win
45%
+8.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penrhyncoch EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Guilsfield EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.28/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.86
+48% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +81%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penrhyncoch
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guilsfield
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
28.12.2024 Guilsfield 4-2 HT 1-0 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
14.12.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-1 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
20.07.2024 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 0-3 HT 0-3 Guilsfield GALLK
18.01.2023 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 1-2 HT 1-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
19.11.2022 Guilsfield 4-1 HT 1-1 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch GALFAW
05.03.2022 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 3-0 HT 2-0 Guilsfield GALFAW
POST-MATCH Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guilsfield squeezed past Penrhyncoch 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Guilsfield as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guilsfield led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Penrhyncoch and 2.33 for Guilsfield.

What was the final score of Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Penrhyncoch 2-3 Guilsfield in the Wales - FAW Championship on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penrhyncoch vs Guilsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Guilsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Penrhyncoch 27%, draw 19%, Guilsfield 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guilsfield), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guilsfield) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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