Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — France - Ligue 1, 12 Sep 2026

📅12/09/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.45
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
34%
2.61
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lorient
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Toulouse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.42
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
397 Passes 370
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2026 Toulouse Toulouse 1-0 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
09.11.2025 Lorient Lorient 1-1 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
28.04.2024 Lorient Lorient 1-2 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
03.12.2023 Toulouse Toulouse 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
23.04.2023 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
21.08.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 2-2 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
PREVIEW Lorient vs Toulouse
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.

Toulouse's recent away league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 4 of the last 5.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for Lorient against 1.33 for Toulouse.

Lorient vs Toulouse Kick-off Time

Lorient play Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 12/09/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Lorient vs Toulouse Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Lorient vs Toulouse is a Lorient win at about 37% probability, priced 2.45 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Lorient 37%, draw 29%, Toulouse 34%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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