Lorient vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lorient v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
Lorient vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lorient
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
2-2
HT 1-1
Lorient
FR1
0-1
HT 0-0
Lorient
FRLK
1-1
HT 0-1
Toulouse
FR1
3-2
HT 2-1
Lorient
FR1
Lorient 1-2 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
Toulouse edged past Lorient 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Toulouse made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Lorient had 50% of the ball to Toulouse's 50%, shots finished 15-14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Toulouse led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lorient and 1.33 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of Lorient vs Toulouse?
Lorient 1-2 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lorient vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated an Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Lorient 36%, draw 27%, Toulouse 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Toulouse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.