Clermont 4-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.06
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.11 — our 27% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.81
1/2
11%
23.15
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
9%
7.13
X/2
12%
4.78
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
21%
2.76
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Clermont EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.47
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 80%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
18.8 Crosses 17.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Clermont
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.05 xG 1.46
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 324
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Reims Reims 2-0 HT 1-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
30.04.2023 Clermont Clermont 1-0 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
14.08.2022 Reims Reims 2-4 HT 2-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
09.01.2022 Clermont Clermont 0-0 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
28.11.2021 Reims Reims 1-0 HT 0-0 Clermont Clermont FR1
02.03.2018 Clermont Clermont 2-1 HT 1-1 Reims Reims FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Clermont
4-1
AWAY Reims
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
312 Passes 325
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Clermont vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Clermont swept aside Reims 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Reims at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Clermont had 50% of the ball to Reims's 50%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Clermont had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Clermont and 1.00 for Reims.

What was the final score of Clermont vs Reims?

Clermont 4-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Clermont vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Clermont 30%, draw 26%, Reims 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5
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