Ayr United 2-1 Peterhead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Oct 2024

Ayr United
2-1 HT 1-0
Peterhead
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - Challenge Cup – 2024/2025

Ayr United vs Peterhead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.81
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.85
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.1pp
22%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
25%
Away Win
11%
+13.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ayr United v Peterhead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ayr United EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterhead EU Bookmakers 14%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.84/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/2.97
-68% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
498 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ayr United vs Peterhead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ayr United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Peterhead
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.11.2023 Peterhead Peterhead 1-2 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İKK
07.05.2016 Ayr United Ayr United 2-1 HT 1-1 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
03.05.2016 Peterhead Peterhead 1-4 HT 1-2 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
23.04.2016 Peterhead Peterhead 0-4 HT 0-2 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
06.02.2016 Ayr United Ayr United 1-2 HT 1-2 Peterhead Peterhead İK1
19.12.2015 Peterhead Peterhead 3-0 HT 0-0 Ayr United Ayr United İK1
POST-MATCH Ayr United vs Peterhead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ayr United nicked a narrow win over Peterhead 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ayr United as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ayr United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ayr United and 1.33 for Peterhead.

What was the final score of Ayr United vs Peterhead?

Ayr United 2-1 Peterhead in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ayr United vs Peterhead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ayr United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Ayr United 54%, draw 22%, Peterhead 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ayr United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ayr United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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