Livingston 2-2 Inverness CT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Challenge Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.49
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
27%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.13
No
44%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.92
6+ Goals
12%
17.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.92 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
63%
-18.7pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.9pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
43%
+13.5pp
44%
BTTS No
57%
-13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Inverness CT EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-19% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Inverness CT
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
11.02.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-3 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKK
12.07.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-1 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKLK
08.02.2020 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKK
24.04.2018 Livingston Livingston 0-1 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
02.01.2018 Inverness CT Inverness CT 1-1 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKCL
04.11.2017 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Inverness CT Inverness CT İKCL
POST-MATCH Livingston vs Inverness CT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and Inverness CT shared the points in a 2-2 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Livingston at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inverness CT led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Livingston and 1.33 for Inverness CT.

What was the final score of Livingston vs Inverness CT?

Livingston 2-2 Inverness CT in the Scotland - Challenge Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs Inverness CT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livingston win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Livingston 44%, draw 29%, Inverness CT 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Livingston) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Livingston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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