Basford United 3-2 Bamber Bridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.1
Over Pick
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
40%
Away Win
33%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.6pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basford United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bamber Bridge EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.05/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.21
-33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
390 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basford United
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Bamber Bridge
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
11.11.2023 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 5-2 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Basford United Basford United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
27.11.2021 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge 1-0 HT 0-0 Basford United Basford United İNGNLP
17.10.2020 Basford United Basford United 2-1 HT 2-0 Bamber Bridge Bamber Bridge İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basford United vs Bamber Bridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basford United edged past Bamber Bridge 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Basford United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bamber Bridge led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Basford United and 2.00 for Bamber Bridge.

What was the final score of Basford United vs Bamber Bridge?

Basford United 3-2 Bamber Bridge in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basford United vs Bamber Bridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bamber Bridge win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Basford United 35%, draw 25%, Bamber Bridge 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bamber Bridge) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bamber Bridge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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