Frome Town 1-1 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Frome Town EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 54%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-24% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -40%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
295 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Frome Town and Basingstoke Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Frome Town 1-1 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Frome Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Frome Town 25%, draw 26%, Basingstoke Town 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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