Gloucester City 2-1 Havant & Waterlooville — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
46%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville EU Bookmakers 32%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-39% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gloucester City
2-1
AWAY Havant & Waterlooville
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City nicked a narrow win over Havant & Waterlooville 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Gloucester City had 56% of the ball to Havant & Waterlooville's 44%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Gloucester City 2-1 Havant & Waterlooville in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 51%, draw 25%, Havant & Waterlooville 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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