12/10/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Leek Town vs Blyth Spartans Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
41%
4-5
22%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Under 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
28%
Draw
26%
29%
Away Win
28%
53%
Under 2.5
48%
47%
Over 2.5
52%
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
50%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Leek Town v Blyth Spartans — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Leek Town
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Blyth Spartans
EU Bookmakers 32%
-57% /
-57%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
0.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.69
-100%
/
-35%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-7%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
4
338 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
300 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Leek Town vs Blyth Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Leek Town nicked a narrow win over Blyth Spartans 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Leek Town as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
What was the final score of Leek Town vs Blyth Spartans?
Leek Town 1-0 Blyth Spartans in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Blyth Spartans?
Before kick-off our model rated a Leek Town win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 44%, draw 28%, Blyth Spartans 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leek Town), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Leek Town)
✓ Under 2.5
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
12 Oct 2024