Marlow 2-2 Dorchester Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
3.46
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
57%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.61
No
59%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
26%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
57%
Away Win
50%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
58%
-17.0pp
59%
BTTS No
42%
+17.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marlow EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorchester Town EU Bookmakers 54%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/0.76
+53% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / +57%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
266 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Marlow vs Dorchester Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marlow and Dorchester Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dorchester Town at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Marlow vs Dorchester Town?

Marlow 2-2 Dorchester Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marlow vs Dorchester Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dorchester Town win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Marlow 20%, draw 22%, Dorchester Town 57%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dorchester Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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