FBK Karlstad 1-3 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.46
No
42%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+1.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
64%
-6.8pp
42%
BTTS No
36%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 49%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.97/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.28
+41% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
233 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FBK Karlstad
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Umea FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.05.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 2-1 HT 1-1 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FBK Karlstad
1-3
AWAY Umea FC
52% Ball Possession 48%
26 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC saw off FBK Karlstad 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FBK Karlstad had 52% of the ball to Umea FC's 48%, shots finished 26-15.

What was the final score of FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC?

FBK Karlstad 1-3 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FBK Karlstad vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FBK Karlstad 32%, draw 25%, Umea FC 43%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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