BK Olympic 3-0 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
24%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.3pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BK Olympic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 43%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.92/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.80
+31% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -24%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BK Olympic
1W-1D-0L
AWAY AFC Malmö
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.06.2024 AFC Malmö 2-2 HT 1-1 BK Olympic BK Olympic İSÇ3
17.05.2023 AFC Malmö 3-4 HT 2-1 BK Olympic BK Olympic İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BK Olympic
3-0
AWAY AFC Malmö
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BK Olympic vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BK Olympic swept aside AFC Malmö 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day BK Olympic made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BK Olympic had 55% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 45%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, BK Olympic had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for BK Olympic and 2.50 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of BK Olympic vs AFC Malmö?

BK Olympic 3-0 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BK Olympic vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BK Olympic 35%, draw 26%, AFC Malmö 39%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ BTTS Yes
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