Eskilsminne 3-1 Lunds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.1pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 51%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +17%
2.27/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.17
+81% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
278 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eskilsminne
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lunds BK
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Lunds BK Lunds BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
05.11.2023 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 4-3 HT 2-2 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
12.05.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-2 HT 1-0 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
19.09.2020 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 1-1 HT 0-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
01.07.2020 Lunds BK Lunds BK 3-1 HT 1-1 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eskilsminne
3-1
AWAY Lunds BK
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eskilsminne vs Lunds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne got the better of Lunds BK 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 28% / 40%) promised a tight game; Eskilsminne found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eskilsminne had 46% of the ball to Lunds BK's 54%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Eskilsminne and 2.20 for Lunds BK.

What was the final score of Eskilsminne vs Lunds BK?

Eskilsminne 3-1 Lunds BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eskilsminne vs Lunds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Eskilsminne 32%, draw 28%, Lunds BK 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lunds BK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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