Sassuolo (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
54%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.1
Over 2.5
49%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
25%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-5.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
54%
Away Win
50%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.9pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 55%
+62% / +62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.79/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.04
+3% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +7%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
266 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 85%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
11.3 Crosses 14.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.04 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 4-4 HT 4-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
16.03.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
11.12.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
16.09.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1-3
AWAY Fiorentina (K)
0.91 xG 1.66
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
180 Passes 384
66% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 18
10 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) got the better of Sassuolo (K) 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fiorentina (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 35% of the ball to Fiorentina (K)'s 65%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.91 to 1.66.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 2.00 for Fiorentina (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 1-3 Fiorentina (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Fiorentina (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 20%, draw 26%, Fiorentina (K) 54%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTKSA More Italya - Women's Serie A
12 Oct 2024
19:00 Como (K) vs Inter Milano (K) Analysis →